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Political Operatives Warn Campaigns: Don’t Trust Prediction Markets
Only 14% of Americans report placing bets on prediction markets “sometimes” or “frequently,” according to a Navigator Research survey conducted in April. And those who do tend to be young men.
Gen Z regrets Trump support and is midterm motivated
Thirty-one percent of Generation Zers who voted for President Trump say they regret it, a recent Navigator poll reports.
‘Big, beautiful bill’ was top GOP achievement. Now it’s campaign fodder for Democrats.
“We’ve seen some Republicans run ads calling this essentially a tax cut, but that’s not how people feel,” says Julie Alderman Boudreau, the director of research at left-leaning Navigator Research. “This [bill] is a huge liability ... for any Republican on the ballot in 2026.”
Trump plays the blame game as massive midterm losses loom
What’s more, a recent Navigator Research poll shows that 31% of non-MAGA Republicans regret voting for Trump in 2024—an increase from 24% at the beginning of June.
Democrats are focused on affordability. Some say they should focus on democracy too
Melissa Toufanian, the managing director of polling firm Navigator Research, said messaging about election issues — particularly allegations of election fraud — has different effects on different kinds of voters.
Navigating the news
Navigator Research, a left-leaning research and public polling firm, had increasingly noticed that its focus group participants were not engaging with traditional news media but were still exposed to news through a patchwork of alternative sources online. So it held a focus group last month with 26 voters to look specifically at the types of information these passive news consumers were getting in battleground states, and what they thought about the media that shows up in their feeds.
Trump’s delusional tariff rally should terrify Republicans
In fact, Trump’s inability to shut up about his failed tariff scheme is one of Democrats’ biggest midterm blessings. Back in August 2024, a Navigator Research survey found that only about 35 percent of voters disapproved of Trump’s tariffs — mostly because the tariffs hadn’t begun to pinch consumers’ wallets. Voter disapproval of Trump’s tariffs grew nearly every month in 2025.
Trump Is Absolutely Flailing in High-Quality Polls
Add in surveys from Verasight (39 percent job approval), Reuters/Ipsos (37 percent), Navigator Research (37 percent), and The Economist/YouGov (34 percent), and there’s quite the collection of polls showing the president in trouble.