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A credible, trusted message-development voice for progressives in policy debates, providing the best words, images, elements, phrases and frames to ensure progressives win the argument.
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Why Blaming China For The Pandemic Probably Won’t Help Trump Win
Tuesday, July 29, 2020
A Navigator poll from late April, for instance, tested multiple narratives about who’s to blame for the pandemic, asking voters which of two statements they agreed with more even if they didn’t fully agree with either. When forced to choose between a statement that placed all the blame on Trump and one that put all the blame on China, respondents were essentially evenly divided, 49 to 51, which is well within the poll’s confidence interval. A statement that blamed both Trump and China got slightly more support, at 54 percent. This suggests that at least some voters are open to an argument that gives China a significant share of the blame for the pandemic.
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Ratings of both Beyoncé and LeBron are positive, with more than 2 in 5 favorable to Beyoncé and half favorable towards LeBron, with higher levels of popularity for each among Democrats and independents.
Comparatively, the president is net -17 (41% favorable/58% unfavorable).
Almost half say that Trump’s tweet about low income housing in suburbs is an effort by Trump to pit Americans against each other on issues of race.
Among suburban Americans, 48% say this is an effort to pit Americans against each other on racial issues.
Democrats in Congress have a double-digit lead over the president on trust to handle relations between police and the black community and a 3-point lead over the president on protecting law and order.
The top motivation Americans see in Trump's "election delay" remark is they think he is hedging in case he loses in November and needs to cast doubt on the result.
In spite of Trump’s recent tweets, almost two-thirds of Americans oppose delaying the election due to expanded mail voting.
After Trump railed against mail voting, Republicans are more likely to say they won’t vote by mail because of concerns their vote “won’t get counted.”
Meanwhile, nearly half of Americans say they will vote by mail or absentee ballot in the fall, including six in ten Democrats.
Good morning. It’s been 164 days since President Trump said we’d soon have zero cases in the U.S.
We now have over 4.8 million cases and more than 159,000 deaths.
Here’s the latest on how the public is responding to the pandemic:
https://navigatorresearch.org/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-navigator-update-31/
When provided the context of more than a dozen players and employees testing positive for coronavirus in the MLB, a majority say it shows how dangerous reopening schools and other loosening of social distancing is right now.
More than two in five Americans say that no professional sports leagues should be playing right now, with nearly half of Americans saying that the MLB should stop playing games after recent events.
A plurality say they would blame Trump and Congressional Republicans if expanded unemployment benefits are not renewed, with majorities saying Trump and Republicans oppose the expanded benefits.
A majority continue to support expanded unemployment benefits, including nearly half of Republicans.
Among the 14% of Americans who have personally received unemployment compensation due to the pandemic*, 82% support continuing this compensation until at least January 2021.
A majority remain more concerned about the impact of coronavirus on public health than on the economy.
On a separate question, 69% of Americans say the pandemic is causing them “a lot” or “some” stress.
Three in five Americans say the economy is “getting worse,” up 9 points from June 16.
The share of both Republicans and independents saying the economy is “getting worse” has risen 11 points since June 16.
NEW >> Ratings of the economy are at their worst point in Navigator’s tracking since May 7, with four in five Americans rating the economy as “not so good” or “poor.”
Two in three (66%) of Republicans rate the economy as “not so good” or “poor” as do 80% of independents.
Good morning. It’s been 163 days since President Trump said we’d soon have zero cases in the U.S.
We now have over 4.8 million cases and more than 158,000 deaths.
Here’s the latest on how the public is responding to the pandemic:
https://navigatorresearch.org/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-navigator-update-30/
While more than half of Americans say they would get vaccinated if a coronavirus vaccine were to become available, more than two in five say they would not get vaccinated or are not sure.
Majorities do not trust Trump to tell the truth about coronavirus case numbers and deaths and oppose Trump’s ordering of hospitals to bypass the CDC and send all patient information to his administration.
While Trump was photographed wearing a mask at a recent public event, two-thirds of Americans continue to think he has generally been “anti-mask,” showing no change from two weeks ago.
At the same time, four in five (80%) Americans say they are personally pro-mask.
Almost four in five support having a law requiring people wear masks in their state, while nearly two in three support enforcing the law with fines for people who fail to follow that law.
More and more Americans believe the U.S. pandemic response is worse than rest of world’s response to coronavirus.
Since May 18, there has been a 12-point increase in the share who say America is doing a worse job responding to the pandemic than other countries.
More than half say the country needs more aggressive social distancing measures. Since the beginning of June, there has been a 19-point increase in the share who say we need more aggressive social distancing.
Approval of governors’ handling of the pandemic is down nearly 10 points since July 14.
Republican governors and governors of states where the number of new cases is increasing have the lowest approval ratings.
Three in five disapprove of the way Trump is handling the coronavirus pandemic, with his net approval now at -22.
Half (49%) of Americans “strongly disapprove” of the job Trump is doing handling the coronavirus.
NEW >> Three in five Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president and his handling of the pandemic.
NEW POLL >> For the first time since our tracking began, a majority now know someone infected with coronavirus (51%), more than five times greater than the percentage who knew someone infected on March 23.
It’s been 162 days since President Trump said we’d soon have zero cases in the U.S.
We now have over 4.7 million cases and more than 157,000 deaths.
Here’s the latest on how the public is responding to the pandemic:
https://navigatorresearch.org/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-navigator-update-29/
Regardless of party, those who know someone who got sick from coronavirus rate Trump lower on the pandemic.
In March, only 13% of voters knew someone who had gotten sick. In July that number rose to 43% as Trump’s net coronavirus approval dropped from +4 to -24.
Self-reported 2016 Trump voters have grown more pessimistic on the state of the country since March, report lower levels of approval of Trump’s handling of his job as president and the pandemic, and fewer say the president is getting his response right on the pandemic.
Most Americans now support more aggressive social distancing, the highest share in Navigator’s tracking.
Two in three are more concerned social distancing will end too soon rather than go on too long, also a new high in our tracking.
With an edge in trust over President Trump by 18 points, Congressional Democrats have gained a net 21 points in trust over the president to respond to the pandemic since March.
While governors overall have net positive approval ratings on their handling of the pandemic, Democratic governors and governors in states with low infection rates enjoy the highest levels of approval.
GOP governors of high infection states have the lowest levels of approval.
Trump’s approval ratings on the pandemic have declined substantially across age, race, and party since March.
Groups showing significant declines:
*Americans ages 18-44 (-28 net decline)
*Americans ages 65+ (-30)
*Black Americans (-42)
*Hispanics (-36)
*independents (-55)
Since March, Trump’s overall approval rating has declined a net of 17 points and on the pandemic specifically, 28 points.
Among independents, his overall ratings declined from net +3 in March to net -38 in July.
Good morning. It’s been 160 days since President Trump said we’d soon have zero cases in the U.S.
We now have over 4.6 million cases and more than 155,000 deaths.
Here’s the latest on how the public is responding to the pandemic:
https://navigatorresearch.org/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-navigator-update-28/
2 in 3 Americans support extending unemployment benefits. Service industry workers are the most supportive of continuing the policy (69% support).
Among the policy’s supporters, majorities would blame Trump and Republicans in Congress if the benefits are not renewed.
2 in 5 blue collar and service industry workers expect they will have trouble paying their bills over the next month, compared to just 1 in 5 white collar workers who say the same.
Majorities across job industries say they think the economy is getting worse rather than better by a 3 to 1 ratio.
On Trump’s handling of the economic recovery from the pandemic, 59% of white collar workers disapprove as do over half of blue collar and service industry workers.
While 1 in 2 Americans report feeling uneasy about their personal financial situation over the next few months, blue collar and service industry workers report feeling more uneasy by 4 and 8 points, respectively (55% and 59%).
We did a deep dive into last week’s Navigator by job industry: Strikingly, most Americans disapprove of Trump across core issues regardless of industry.
White collar workers are more likely to disapprove overall & blue collar workers are split on Trump’s economic performance.
Nearly three in four say that Trump should be listening to Dr. Fauci’s advice on reopening the country, while two in five say they are most worried Trump is rejecting Fauci’s advice on reopening the country safely.
Support for reopening K-12 schools at the end of the summer continues to decline since June 1, with net support now having shifted 29 points (from +14 to -15).
Among parents, there has been a net shift of 41 points since June 1, from +27 to -14.
ICYMI: majorities continue to support the BLM protests and disapprove of the police response.
A consistent majority support the protests following the death of George Floyd and about half disapprove of the job the police have done in responding to them.
Among independents, a 2 in 3 (65%) support the protests and 54% disapprove of the police response to them.
Democrats in Congress hold a double-digit lead in trust over the president on looking out for people who work for a living and responding to the economic impact of the pandemic.
Two in three Americans say some kind of change is needed to the way police operate in America, including 26% who say “very big change” is needed.
Among African Americans, 60% say that “very big change” is needed.
Three in five disapprove of how the president is handling reopening schools, with net approval down 6 points since July 13.
Among those living in suburban areas, net approval for Trump’s handling of the issue is down 11 points since last week (from net -22 to -33).
Two in three Americans (67%) support extending this benefit until at least January 2021, including 48% of Republicans.
Among that share, 58% say they would blame President Trump and Republicans in Congress more if the expanded payments were not renewed.
Dr. Fauci has become a household name and remains one of America's most popular public figures.
Americans say they trust him more to decide when and how to reopen the country than Trump.
A majority support renewing expanded unemployment benefits, including a third of Republicans and half of independents.
Among 2016 Trump voters, 34% support renewing the benefits and among those who know someone who has lost a job, 57% support the measure.
Key takeaways from our most recent #NavigatingCoronavirus survey:
*3 in 4 now say the country is on the wrong track
*2 out of 3 support extending expanded unemployment insurance until 2021
*A majority support recent BLM protests & disapprove of the police response
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By 11 points, Democrats in Congress are more trusted than President Trump to reduce government corruption.
Democrats in Congress are more trusted by 8 points by independents to reduce government corruption.
A growing majority believe Trump has committed a crime as president (58%). Since November 2019, this share has grown by 4 points.
Likewise, fewer Republicans today say Trump has not committed a crime than in November 2019.
A majority oppose Trump’s decision to commute Roger Stone’s sentence and nearly half “strongly oppose.” Top descriptors of Stone’s sentence commutation by Trump are an “abuse of power” and “corrupt.”
Even a quarter (24%) of Republicans say it is an “abuse of power.”
Since August 2018, the share who are familiar with Roger Stone has grown by 22 points – and the share who are unfavorable towards Stone has grown 13 points.
Republicans are driving the share who are favorable toward Roger Stone, with nearly a quarter (23%) who are favorable.
When comparing recent news items, two in five say they have heard “a lot” about Trump commuting Roger Stone’s prison sentence, while roughly a third have heard of Russia’s bounty on American troops and Trump no longer receiving briefings from Dr. Fauci.
Two in three Americans say some kind of change is needed to the way police operate in America, including 26% who say “very big change” is needed.
Among African Americans, 60% say that “very big change” is needed.
A consistent majority support the protests following the death of George Floyd and about half disapprove of the job the police have done in responding to them.
Among independents, a 2 in 3 (65%) support the protests and 54% disapprove of the police response to them.
Takeaways from this week’s Navigator poll:
*A majority support recent BLM protests & disapprove of the police response
*The public opposes Trump’s commutation of Roger Stone & call it an "abuse of power"
*3 in 5 believe that Trump has committed a crime while president
Good morning. It’s been 150 days since President Trump said we’d soon have zero cases in the U.S.
We now have over 4 million cases and more than 144,000 deaths.
Here’s the latest on how the public is responding to the pandemic: https://navigatorresearch.org/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-navigator-update-27/
Few are convinced by Trump’s arguments about job creation and wage growth that he’s prepared to handle the country’s economic recovery.
55% of Americans say they are not convinced by the president’s economic sales pitch.
Democrats in Congress hold a double-digit lead in trust over the president on looking out for people who work for a living and responding to the economic impact of the pandemic.
Featured polls
A vast majority of Americans oppose delaying the election; many say Trump’s recent posts on social media are designed to sow division and chaos.
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More Americans than ever rate the economy negatively and six in ten say it is still getting worse.
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Trump’s pandemic approval continues to decline while, for the first time, half of Americans know someone who has been infected with coronavirus.
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