• Polling

Seven in Ten Americans Believe Climate Change is a Serious Problem

Thursday, August 1, 2024 By Maryann Cousens
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Poll: Climate Change

This Navigator Research report contains polling data on perceptions of climate change and extreme weather, including what Americans believe is the source of climate change and how they believe this year’s weather compares to that of past years.

A majority say this summer’s weather has been different from years past, with nine in ten citing hotter weather.


By a 14-point margin, Americans believe this summer’s weather globally has been different from years past (57 percent different – 43 percent similar), and by a 6-point margin, Americans say the weather in their community this summer has been different (53 percent different – 47 percent similar). Among those who say the weather in their community has been different, nine in ten cite experiencing hotter weather than in years past (89 percent), a ten point increase from
Navigator’s July 2023 survey when 79 percent said the same. By 60 points, Americans who believe the weather is changing in their community blame climate change for temperatures rising (73 percent) rather than natural weather patterns (13 percent), up 9 points from last year (net +51; 67 percent climate change to blame – 16 percent natural weather patterns to blame).

  • Majorities of Democrats and independents believe this summer’s weather globally has been different from years past, including seven in ten Democrats (70 percent) and two in three independents (65 percent); however, most Republicans believe the weather is similar to years past (59 percent similar to years past).
  • Among those who believe the weather is changing, 86 percent of Democrats, 63 percent of independents, and 52 percent of Republicans believe climate change is to blame for rising temperatures.
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Majorities Say Global and Local Weather Patterns Are Different This Year
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Among Americans Who Perceive Changes in Weather, Nearly All Say It Is Hotter Locally
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: A Growing Share of Those Who See Weather as Different from Years Past Attribute It to Climate Change

By nearly 20 points, Americans blame human activity such as the burning of fossil fuels for climate change rather than natural patterns in the environment.


50 percent of Americans believe the climate is changing mostly as a result of human activity such as the burning of fossil fuels while 33 percent believe the climate is changing mostly as a result of natural patterns in the environment. A majority of Democrats (74 percent) and plurality of independents (net +19; 48 percent human activity – 29 percent natural patterns) believe human activity is to blame for rising temperatures, while a narrow majority of Republicans believe natural patterns are to blame for rising temperatures (52 percent). 

  • By a 23-point margin, Americans under the age of 35 believe human activity is to blame for rising temperatures (55 percent human activity – 32 percent natural patterns). Similarly, a plurality of Americans over the age of 65 believe human activity is to blame for climate change (net +12; 47 percent human activity – 35 percent natural patterns).
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Only One in Three See Weather Changing Because of Natural Patterns, While Half Blame Fossil Fuels

Majorities believe climate change is a serious problem for Americans today, and nearly three in four believe it is a serious problem for future generations.


Seven in ten Americans believe climate change is a serious problem (69 percent), including two in five who believe it is a “very” serious problem (40 percent). Similarly, 73 percent believe climate change will become a serious problem for future generations, including 48 percent who believe it will be a “very” serious problem. Majorities across party lines believe climate change will be a serious problem for future generations, including 92 percent of Democrats, 74 percent of independents, and 52 percent of Republicans.

  • Four in five Americans under the age of 35 believe climate change poses a serious problem for future generations (82 percent).
  • 74 percent say they are concerned about extreme or unnatural weather, with 39 percent saying they are “very” concerned. Concern over extreme or unnatural weather spans across partisanship, with 90 percent of Democrats, 75 percent of independents, and 57 percent of Republicans saying they are concerned.
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Majorities Say Climate Change Is a Serious Problem Today and Even More So for Future Generations

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About The Study

Global Strategy Group conducted a public opinion survey among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from July 11-July 14, 2024. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 79 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables. The margin of error for the full sample at the 95 percent level of confidence is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The margin for error for subgroups varies and is higher.

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About Navigator

In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

For press inquiries contact: press@navigatorresearch.org