Trump is Underwater in the Battleground a Year After the One Big Beautiful Bill

58% of battleground constituents disapprove of the way Trump is handling the presidency, a new high in Navigating the Battleground. Since he signed the One Big Beautiful Bill into law, Trump’s net approval has gone from -7 (46% approve – 53% disapprove) to -16 (42% approve – 58% disapprove). More than half of battleground constituents strongly disapprove of Trump’s handling of the presidency (52%). Even in districts Trump won by at least 10.5% in 2024, his net approval is -13 (43% approve – 56% disapprove).

Trump’s approval has dropped with independents. In February 2025, Trump had a net +6 approval from independents (51% approve – 46% disapprove). In our latest survey, he has a -46 approval from independents (26% approve – 72% disapprove), including 52% who strongly disapprove of him.

Americans in the Battleground Are Down on Republicans in Washington a Year After Passing Their Signature Legislation

Battleground constituents disapprove of Republican leadership in Washington. Republican incumbents have a net approval of -13 (34% approve – 47% disapprove). Net approval of Republicans in Washington has fallen since they passed their signature legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, by seven points.

Americans in the battleground have an intense disapproval of Republican incumbents. 36% “strongly disapprove” of Republican incumbents.

Battleground Constituents are Unhappy With the Economy, and Don’t Approve of What Republicans are Doing About It

Nearly two-thirds of Americans in the battleground say the economy is going negatively (65%), including more than four-in-five independents (82%). Net favorability of the economy has dropped by seven points since Republican lawmakers passed the One Big Beautiful Bill. Meanwhile, more than a third say their personal financial situation has gotten worse over the past few months (35%).

Trump’s approval on the economy is net -15 (42% approve – 57% disapprove), including 51% who “strongly disapprove” of his handling of the economy. Trump’s net economic approval has dropped 10 points since he signed the One Big Beautiful Bill into law (net -5, 47% approve – 52% disapprove).

Americans in the battleground disapprove of how Republican incumbents in Congress have handled the economy. Republican incumbents’ net economic approval sits at -18 (30% approve – 48% disapprove). As with Trump, Republicans’ net economic approval has fallen by 10 points since the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill. 

Disapproval is intense for Republicans; 36% “strongly disapprove” of Republican incumbents’ handling of the economy.