• Polling

A Majority of Americans Oppose House Republicans’ Budget Plan

Thursday, April 27, 2023 By Bryan Bennett
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Welcome to NAVIGATOR – a project designed to better understand the American public’s views on issues of the day and help advocates, elected officials, and other interested parties understand the language, imagery, and messaging needed to make and win key policy arguments.
Key takeaways
  • Half of Americans support raising the debt ceiling, while nearly four in five prefer raising taxes on the rich and corporations rather than cutting programs like Social Security and Medicare to reduce the deficit.
  • Detailing that the Republicans’ debt ceiling plan would cut 22% of funding for non-military programs drives up opposition to the plan, as Americans oppose a range of changes to Medicaid, including adding work requirements and cutting Medicaid.
  • Highlighting that Republicans’ plan would cut Medicaid for millions of sick kids and seniors is stronger than rebutting the lie that recipients of Medicaid are lazy or are taking advantage of the system.

Democrats Are on Firmer Ground When Talking About Health Care and Retirement Security Versus Debt and Deficits

Independents trust Biden and the Democratic Party much more than the Republican Party on health care (net +16 Biden and Democrats) and “protecting Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid” (net +13).

  • Republicans hold an advantage on inflation (net -8 Democrats overall, net -25 among independents), “the national debt and deficit” (net -10 and net -36), and “being fiscally responsible” (net -11 and net -26).

Four in Five Americans Prefer Raising Taxes on Rich Over Cutting Programs Like Social Security & Medicare to Reduce the Deficit

More than seven in ten Republicans (72%) and nearly as many MAGA Republicans* (69%) prefer “raising taxes on the rich and big corporations” over “cutting programs like Social Security and Medicare” in order to reduce the deficit.

Providing Details on Republicans’ Planned Spending Cuts Significantly Increases Opposition to Their Plan

Explaining that the plan “would cut 22% of funding for government programs that are nonmilitary” erodes support from net +2 among Americans overall to net 25 overall.

Americans Continue to Support Raising the Debt Ceiling By Double Digits, Including Independents

A plurality of independents (45%) support raising the debt ceiling (net +16 support now, in line with net +16 in late February), as majorities or pluralities of every racial group also support the move.

Opposition is Far Greater to Cutting Medicaid and Making It Harder to Qualify Compared to Adding Work Requirements

Independents oppose a range of measures related to Medicaid, particularly “making it harder for Americans to qualify” (net 52 support) and “cutting Medicaid” (net 69).

  • Majorities of Republicans also oppose “cutting Medicaid” (net 43 support) and “adding more paperwork and bureaucracy” (net 36).

Stronger Medicaid Arguments Focus on Impact of Cuts, Not Litigation of Work Status

Independents are more concerned that the GOP plan “would cut Medicaid that millions of Americans rely on” (net +65 concerning) than that the “proposed Medicaid work requirements are built on the lie that recipients of Medicaid are lazy” (net +33).

When Reminded That Millions Count on Medicaid, Americans Disagree with Arguments for Work Requirements

Republicans are the only partisan or racial group in which a majority support increasing work requirements instead of leaving the program as it is (net34 leave as is). 

About The Study

Global Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 1,002 registered voters from April 20-April 24, 2023. 102 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 79 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 105 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 98 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters.

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About Navigator

In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

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