ICE’s Aggression is Fracturing Republicans

January 27, 2026
Maryann Cousens & Julie Alderman Boudreau

Polling report on shifting public sentiment on immigration, Trump’s handling of immigration and deportations, and the deployment of ICE.

Big Takeaways:

ICE’s favorability has dropped significantly since December – the drop has been even sharper among Americans who have seen news about recent shootings of civilians.

ICE’s aggression is fracturing the Republican base, as Republican women and Catholics say ICE is too aggressive.

Poll: ICE

This Navigator Research report covers shifting public sentiment on immigration, Trump’s handling of immigration and deportations, and the deployment of ICE following the shooting of Renee Good in Minnesota.

Favorability and Awareness of ICE

Americans’ perception of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, has deteriorated over the past month – going from a favorability rating of net -8 in June to net -14 in December to net -20 in January, following the shooting of Renee Good. The story of Renee Good’s shooting broke through to overwhelming majorities (78% heard a lot/some), even among passive news consumers, or those who say news comes to them (65% heard a lot/some).

Favorability of ICE has taken an even sharper turn among those who have heard the news of the shooting of Renee Good compared to those who have heard less about the news (have heard the news: 58% unfavorable, have not heard the news: 49% unfavorable). Other groups who have seen stark drop offs in ICE’s favorability are Hispanic Americans (from net -23 in June, to net -30 in December, to now net -41), those living in the Midwest (from net -2 in June, to net -13 in December, to now net -22), and moderates (from net -22 in June, to net -31 in December, to now net -39).

Bar chart from Navigator Research, titled: Americans' View of ICE Are in Decline

ICE’s Aggression and Fractures within Republican Party

Majorities believe ICE has been too aggressive in their actions (59% too aggressive – 24% balanced – 12% not aggressive enough). In June 2025, amid ongoing protests against ICE in Los Angeles, Navigator found that 52% believed Trump’s deportation efforts had gone too far and 31% thought they struck the right balance.

Republicans have begun to fracture on the issue of ICE, with more Republican women now saying ICE has been too aggressive (35% too aggressive – 33% struck the right balance – 20% not aggressive enough). Similarly, a majority of Catholic Americans, a slightly Republican-leaning group (46% lean Republican – 44% lean Democrat), believe ICE has been too aggressive in their actions (59% too aggressive – 27% struck the right balance – 13% not aggressive enough).

Bar chart from Navigator Research: Americans Overall Are Concerned About ICE Aggression

From Focus Groups

Navigator held focus groups days after an ICE officer shot and killed Renee Good in Minneapolis. ICE enforcement and the shooting are top of mind for many, especially for Latino Americans. Others say raids and deportations are hitting close to home.

  • “It’s just been kind of disgusting what happens because of the domino effect of ICE getting $4 billion jumping up there, how much they have now to spend and use.” – AZ Hispanic man
  • “He created his own Gestapo and you know how it is. He’s going after Hispanics now, but when he gets done with Hispanics, you know who’s next.” – NC Hispanic man
  • “Where are the checks and balances? It just seems like the individuals that are within ICE and all this, there’s just no boundaries.” – MI Black man
Slide featuring quotes from Navigator Research's focus groups, titled: Several Liken Trump’s Actions, And ICE Specifically, To That Of A Hitler-Style Dictator

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About The Study

Global Strategy Group conducted a public opinion survey among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from January 8-January 12, 2026. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 75 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables. The margin of error for the full sample at the 95 percent level of confidence is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error for subgroups varies and is higher.