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The Policies of Project 2025: A Guide for Progressives

Tuesday, July 9, 2024 By Aviva Jotzke
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Poll: Project 2025 Policies

This Navigator Research report contains polling data on how Americans view Project 2025, the conservative blueprint for a second Donald Trump presidency. This second release focuses on public reaction to specific policies and whether they would have a positive or negative impact on various groups.

A wide range of policies included in Project 2025 are seen as harmful to the country.

 

Americans oppose all the key elements in Project 2025, with the greatest concerns around health care, worker’s rights, and dismantling federal programs. Over four in five Americans oppose an array of policies proposed in Project 2025 such as “allowing employers to stop paying hourly workers overtime” (87 percent oppose, 84 percent find harmful to the country), with bipartisan opposition including over nine in ten Democrats (94 percent), and four in five independents and Republicans (81 percent each). Additionally, four in five oppose “allowing the government to monitor people’s pregnancies to potentially prosecute them if they miscarry” (85 percent oppose, 78 percent find harmful to the country). Other deeply opposed policies include:

  • Removing health care protections for people with pre-existing conditions (83 percent oppose, 82 percent find harmful to the country); 
  • Eliminating the National Weather Service, which is currently responsible for preparing for extreme weather events like heat waves, floods, and wildfires (82 percent oppose, 77 percent harmful to the country);
  • Eliminating the Head Start program, ending preschool education for the children of low-income families (81 percent oppose, 79 percent harmful to the country); 
  • Putting a new tax on health insurance for millions of people who get insurance through their employer (81 percent oppose, 80 percent harmful to the country); 
  • Banning Medicare from negotiating for lower prescription drug costs and eliminating the $35 monthly cap on the price of insulin for seniors (80 percent oppose, 79 percent find harmful to the country);
  • Cutting Social Security benefits by raising the retirement age (80 percent oppose, 78 percent hurtful to the country); and,
  • Allowing employers to deny workers access to birth control (79 percent oppose, 73 percent hurtful to the country).
  • Reminder: A Navigator survey conducted in November 2023 found that cutting funding for Social Security and Medicare (81 percent oppose), nutrition assistance for vulnerable families (78 percent oppose), K-12 public schools (77 percent oppose), and health care, including Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (74 percent oppose) are deeply unpopular, and more than seven in ten Americans want to see increased investment by the U.S. government in these programs.
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Harmful Project 2025 Reproductive Policies: Monitoring Pregnancies, Birth Control Restrictions, Abortion and IVF Bans
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Harmful Project 2025 Economic/Health Care Policies: Stopping Overtime Pay, Removing Protections for Pre-Existing Conditions
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Harmful Project 2025 Administrative Policies: Eliminating Head Start, the NWS, and the DOE, Unchecked Presidential Power
Scatter plot of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Most Unpopular and Harmful Policies: Ending Overtime Pay and Protections for Pre-Existing Conditions, Monitoring Pregnancies

Americans’ overall opposition to Project 2025 increases after reading about its specific policy goals.


Before being asked about the policies included in Project 2025, opposition starts at net -18 (31 percent support – 49 percent oppose), but, net opposition increases by 21 points after evaluating the specific policies in Project 2025 to net -39 (24 percent support – 63 percent oppose). A majority of independents oppose Project 2025 after reading about the policies included in it (net -59; 10 percent support – 69 percent oppose), a net 35-point increase in opposition. Only a plurality of Republicans remain supportive of Project 2025 (net +9; 46 percent support – 37 percent oppose), a net decline of 32 points compared to before reading about the policies.

  • Among those unfavorable to both Biden and Trump, over three in four oppose Project 2025 after learning about the specific policies (net -68; 10 percent support – 78 percent oppose). 
  • Of the 17 percent of respondents who shift to opposing Project 2025 after being exposed to its policies, groups that are most likely to shift include non-MAGA Republicans (31 percent), independents (26 percent), Republican women (26 percent), non-college women (23 percent), and women under 55 (22 percent).
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Nearly One in Five Americans Shift to Opposing Project 2025 After Learning About the Policies Proposed In It

Three in five Americans say Project 2025 would benefit the wealthiest Americans, CEOs, and corporations.

 

Majorities of Americans believe Project 2025 would benefit the wealthiest Americans, CEOs, and corporations while having a negative impact on all other groups. From a list of 15 different groups, only two groups are seen by a majority of Americans as being positively impacted by Project 2025: the wealthiest Americans (61 percent) and CEOs and corporations (60 percent). A majority of Democrats (66 percent), independents (50 percent), and Republicans (56 percent) believe Project 2025 would positively impact the wealthiest Americans, and similar shares believe Project 2025 would positively impact CEOs and corporations (68 percent Democrats, 56 percent independents, and 56 percent Republicans). 

  • Two in three Americans believe Project 2025 would have a negative impact on the LGBTQ+ community, women, and seniors (66 percent for each). At least three in five Americans believe America’s children (63 percent), working class families (62 percent), and personal freedoms (62 percent) would be negatively impacted. Three in five Americans believe Project 2025 would have a negative impact on you and your family (60 percent), while only one in five Americans believe Project 2025 would have a positive impact on them and their family (21 percent). 
  • Over seven in ten women believe that Project 2025 would have a negative impact on women (72 percent), including nearly three in five who believe it would have a “very” negative impact (57 percent). 
  • A majority of Americans over the age of 65 believe Project 2025 would have a “very” negative impact on seniors (53 percent), part of a greater share of those over 65 who believe Project 2025 would have a generally negative impact on seniors (69 percent).
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Most to Gain From Project 2025: the Wealthy and CEOs; Most to Lose: LGBTQ+ Community, Women, Seniors, Children

Read More

Americans Describe Impacts to Rights and Freedoms As The Most Concerning Outcomes for Project 2025 Implementation

Polling data on Project 2025, including what impact messaging has on Americans’ perceptions of the plan’s impact on their personal lives.

A Guide for Progressives on How to Brand Project 2025

Branding and messaging guide on Project 2025, including the most resonant language to describe it and polling data on Americans’ top concerns.

Special Report: The State of “the American Dream” and How Progressive Economic Policies Can Rebuild It

Polling data on the state of “the American Dream,” including what people most associate with it and whether the American Dream still holds true.

About The Study

Global Strategy Group conducted a public opinion survey among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from June 20-June 24, 2024. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 75 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables.

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About Navigator

In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

For press inquiries contact: press@navigatorresearch.org