Poll: President Trump and Congressional Democrats and Republicans in the House Battleground
The economy continues to lead as the top overall issue, with 41 percent of battleground constituents identifying either “inflation and the cost of living” or “jobs and the economy” as a priority.
In a newly added question, we tested “government corruption” as a top concern. It now ranks just behind threats to democracy and the economy — making it the third-most prioritized issue overall (28 percent).
Trump’s standing has declined slightly among battleground constituents and persuadables — even in a sample that leans slightly more Republican than the national electorate. In February, his favorability was roughly even; today, he is four points underwater (48 percent favorable – 52 percent unfavorable). This decline mirrors his approval on the economy, which now sits seven points underwater (46 percent approve – 53 percent disapprove).
Perceptions of the economy remain bleak:
- 61 percent of battleground Americans say the economy is doing “not so good” or “poor.”
- 58 percent say Trump and Republicans in Congress are most responsible for the current state of the economy.
- 26 percent list inflation as one of their top two concerns.
- 33 percent say their personal financial situation is worse than it was a year ago.
There is little optimism about the economy looking forward:
- 45 percent believe the economy will be worse a year from now.
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About The Study
This survey was conducted among a sample of 1,500 likely 2026 general election voters from May 28-June 1, 2025. The survey was conducted via text-to-web. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the 63 congressional districts included in the sample across a variety of demographic variables (the full list of districts included in the sample can be found on slide 20 here). The margin of error for the full sample at the 95 percent level of confidence is +/- 2.5 percentage points.
