• Polling

Trump’s Approval Declines in the Battleground as Economic Pessimism Grows

Thursday, July 3, 2025 By Ian Smith

Poll: President Trump and Congressional Democrats and Republicans in the House Battleground

TOPLINES | GRAPHS

This Navigator Research report covers the latest perceptions of President Trump and Congressional Democrats and Republicans in the House Battleground.

The economy continues to lead as the top overall issue, with 41 percent of battleground constituents identifying either “inflation and the cost of living” or “jobs and the economy” as a priority.

In a newly added question, we tested “government corruption” as a top concern. It now ranks just behind threats to democracy and the economy — making it the third-most prioritized issue overall (28 percent).

Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: The Economy Remains a Top Issue for Battleground Constituents, and Swing Voters Prioritize the Debt

Trump’s standing has declined slightly among battleground constituents and persuadables — even in a sample that leans slightly more Republican than the national electorate. In February, his favorability was roughly even; today, he is four points underwater (48 percent favorable – 52 percent unfavorable). This decline mirrors his approval on the economy, which now sits seven points underwater (46 percent approve – 53 percent disapprove).

Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: A Majority of Battleground Constituents, Including Independents and Persuadables, Have an Unfavorable Opinion of Trump
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: Trump is Underwater in Both His Overall Job Rating and The Way He’s Handling the Economy

Perceptions of the economy remain bleak:

  • 61 percent of battleground Americans say the economy is doing “not so good” or “poor.”
  • 58 percent say Trump and Republicans in Congress are most responsible for the current state of the economy.
  • 26 percent list inflation as one of their top two concerns.
  • 33 percent say their personal financial situation is worse than it was a year ago.

 

There is little optimism about the economy looking forward:

  • 45 percent believe the economy will be worse a year from now.
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: A Majority of Battleground Constituents are Down on the Economy, Though They are Far More Optimistic Than They Were in February
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: The Overwhelming Majority of Battleground Constituents Believe Trump and Republicans Own the State of the Economy
Bar graph of polling data from Navigator Research. Title: A Plurality of Battleground Constituents Thinks The Economy Will Be Worse a Year From, But Expect Their Own Situation to Stay Constant

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About The Study

This survey was conducted among a sample of 1,500 likely 2026 general election voters from May 28-June 1, 2025. The survey was conducted via text-to-web. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the 63 congressional districts included in the sample across a variety of demographic variables (the full list of districts included in the sample can be found on slide 20 here). The margin of error for the full sample at the 95 percent level of confidence is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

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About Navigator

In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

For press inquiries contact: press@navigatorresearch.org