Poll: Project 2025 and the Political Parties
This Navigator Research report contains polling data on the latest perceptions of Project 2025, including levels of awareness and support for Project 2025, what Americans are hearing about Project 2025, and what policies from Project 2025 Americans believe Republicans are most likely to try and pass.
Nearly half of Americans have seen, read or heard something about Project 2025.
Nearly half of Americans have seen, read, or heard something about Project 2025, with many citing Trump and Republicans when describing what they have seen. 49 percent of Americans have seen, read, or heard something about “Project 2025,” a 26-point increase since June of this year (23 percent). Two in three Democrats have heard of Project 2025 (66 percent), including one in three who have heard “a lot” (33 percent). Independents and Republicans have heard less about Project 2025, with 39 percent of independents and 35 percent of Republicans having heard of the policy proposals.
- Among those who have heard of Project 2025, many cite “Trump,” “Republican,” “takeaway,” and “rights” when describing the plan.
Opposition to Project 2025 continues to rise, as half of Americans now oppose Project 2025.
Americans now oppose Project 2025 by a 36-point margin (50 percent oppose – 14 percent support), a 22-point increase since June of this year (28 percent – 15 percent support). While an overwhelming majority of Democrats oppose Project 2025 (70 percent oppose – 8 percent support – 22 percent not sure), a plurality of both independents (42 percent oppose – 8 percent support – 50 percent not sure) and Republicans (29 percent oppose – 22 percent support – 49 percent not sure) say they are not sure.
- Self described MAGA Republicans are 20-points more likely to support Project 2025 than non-MAGA Republicans (32 percent MAGA Republicans – 12 percent non-MAGA Republicans), though non-MAGA Republicans are 15-points more likely than MAGA Republicans to have not heard anything about Project 2025 (41 percent non-MAGA Republicans – 26 percent MAGA Republicans).
Americans find banning abortion nationwide, cutting taxes for the wealthy, and firing thousands of civil servants to be the most believable policies that Republicans would try to pass from Project 2025.
Two in three Americans believe that Republicans would try to ban abortion nationwide (65 percent), including 86 percent of Democrats, 60 percent of independents, and 44 percent of Republicans. Two in three also find it believable that Republicans would try to cut taxes for the wealthy (65 percent) and fire thousands of civil servants (64 percent). 61 percent find it believable that Republicans would try to allow employers to deny health insurance coverage for birth control, including 39 percent who say it is “very” believable.
- Navigator’s early August survey found that the policies within Project 2025 that Americans find most concerning include giving the President unchecked power, eliminating protections for pre-existing conditions, and banning abortion nationwide – with banning abortion being among the believable Project 2025 policies as well.
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About The Study
Global Strategy Group conducted a public opinion survey among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from August 22-August 25, 2024. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 72 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables. The margin of error for the full sample at the 95 percent level of confidence is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The margin for error for subgroups varies and is higher.
