• Polling

Two in Three Americans Now Believe Trump Committed a Crime

Thursday, June 1, 2023 By Bryan Bennett
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Welcome to NAVIGATOR – a project designed to better understand the American public’s views on issues of the day and help advocates, elected officials, and other interested parties understand the language, imagery, and messaging needed to make and win key policy arguments.
Key takeaways
  • A growing majority of Americans now say Trump has committed a crime, as majorities support his indictment and believe the jury in the E. Jean Carroll case made the right decision.
  • Trump’s proposal to bring back family separation at the border, claiming he could take classified documents from the White House, and plan to pardon January 6th rioters raise the most doubts about him leading the GOP.


Two in Three Americans Now Believe Trump Has Committed a Crime, a Notable Increase Since March

Since late March, the share of Americans who say Trump has committed a crime has increased by net 12 points (from net +25 in late March to net +37 now).

  • This increase is driven by independents (net +50 now, up from net +26) and white Americans (net +32 now, up from net +14). There has also been a 13-point increase among Republicans (from net -36 to net -23).

Majorities Support Trump’s Indictment and Think the NY Jury Made the Right Decision in the E. Jean Carroll Case

Majorities support the indictment (59% support) and think the jury made the right decision in finding Trump liable for sexual abuse and defamation in the E. Jean Carroll case (56% right decision). Pluralities of independents say the same (+18 support, +27 right decision).

Separating Families, Classified Docs, and Pardoning Jan. 6th Rioters Raise Most Doubts About Trump Leading the GOP

Americans Say Investigating Clarence Thomas Is a High Priority

By a 23-point margin, independents say that investigating Justice Thomas should be a “very high” or “somewhat high priority,” as do majorities of every racial group.


About The Study

Global Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from May 18-May 21, 2023. 100 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 76 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 100 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables.

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About Navigator

In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

For press inquiries contact: press@navigatorresearch.org